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2026-06-08

Are Mortgage Rates About to Rise? What California Buyers Should Know Now

With a strong jobs report pushing the odds of a Fed rate hike above 60%, the window for locking in today's mortgage rates may be closing fast. Here's what this means for California buyers and refinancers.

If you've been sitting on the fence about buying or refinancing in California, the latest economic data should be your wake-up call. A resilient May jobs report combined with persistent inflation has pushed the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike to over 60%. That's not a number to ignore.

When the Fed raises its benchmark rate, mortgage rates typically follow — and in an already expensive California market, even a quarter-point jump can meaningfully increase your monthly payment or reduce your purchasing power.

Here's what I'm telling my clients right now: don't try to time the market perfectly. If a purchase or refinance makes financial sense for you today, waiting for rates to drop could easily backfire. The experts themselves can't agree on what the Fed will do next, and that kind of uncertainty is exactly the environment where hesitation costs money.

The bottom line? The rate environment may get tougher before it gets better. If you're thinking about making a move, now is the time to explore your options and get pre-approved while today's rates are still on the table.

Ready to lock in your rate before the market shifts? Contact our team today for a free consultation and personalized rate quote.

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